The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts a 30% chance of a near normal hurricane season, June 1 to Nov. 30, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season in the Atlantic basin this year.
The agency is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms with winds of 39 miles per hour or higher. Of those, six to 10 are forecast to become hurricanes with winds of 74 miles per hour or higher, including three to five major hurricanes of Category 3, 4 or 5, with winds of 111 miles per hour or higher. NOAA has 70% confidence in these ranges.
“NOAA and the National Weather Service are using the most advanced weather models and cutting-edge hurricane tracking systems to provide Americans with real-time storm forecasts and warnings,” Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said. “With these models and forecasting tools, we have never been more prepared for hurricane season.”
“As we witnessed last year with significant inland flooding from hurricanes Helene and Debby, the impacts of hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities,” Acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm said. “NOAA is critical for the delivery of early and accurate forecasts and warnings, and provides the scientific expertise needed to save lives and property.”
To read the full 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, see NOAA.gov.
